About Influences 0n our import and export trade and Countermeasures of Longterm Appreciation of RMB.docx
- 文档编号:480979
- 上传时间:2022-10-10
- 格式:DOCX
- 页数:8
- 大小:22.58KB
About Influences 0n our import and export trade and Countermeasures of Longterm Appreciation of RMB.docx
《About Influences 0n our import and export trade and Countermeasures of Longterm Appreciation of RMB.docx》由会员分享,可在线阅读,更多相关《About Influences 0n our import and export trade and Countermeasures of Longterm Appreciation of RMB.docx(8页珍藏版)》请在冰豆网上搜索。
AboutInfluences0nourimportandexporttradeandCountermeasuresofLongtermAppreciationofRMB
AboutInfluences0nourimportandexporttradeandCountermeasuresofLong-termAppreciationofRMB
中文摘要:
自2005年7月21日起,我国开始实行以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币进行调节、有管理的浮动汇率制度;与此同时,人民币汇率调整为1美元=8.11元,升值2%。
由此,人民币在经历亚洲金融危机以来的稳定和实际升值以后,终于拉开了正式升值的序幕。
根据各方面的分析,到2020年以前,人民币将处于长期升值的趋势之中。
众所周知,汇率对进出口贸易具有较大的影响,因为汇率反映的是一种货币相对于另一种货币的价格,所以汇率的改变将直接传导给进出口商品和服务的价格,从而影响到进出口数量。
本文研究的范围是人民币升值给进出口贸易带来的影响,重点研究2007年以来人民币加速升值对进出口贸易带来的影响,包括正面影响、负面影响、出口、进口、进出口商品结构、贸易方式等。
本研究基于权威部门的统计数据,利用国际贸易相关理论,采用实证和分析相结合的方法,试图全面分析人民币升值尤其是加速升值对我国进出口贸易的影响,以及面对人民币升值应该的一些措施。
Abstract
SinceJuly21,2005,Chinabegantoimplementamanagedfloatingexchangeratesystembasedonmarketsupplyanddemand,withreferencetoabasketofcurrencies.Atthesametime,RMBexchangerateadjuststo$1=8.11RMBwithanappreciationby2%.Thus,aftertheAsianfinancialcrisisintheexperienceofthestabilityandarealappreciation,RMBfinallystartsthepreludeofappreciation.Accordingtotheanalysis,by2020,theRMBwillbelongbeforetheupwardtrend.Asisknown,rateofexchangehasgreatinfluenceonimportandexporttrade,becausetheexchangerateisakindofcurrencyreflectstherelativetoanothercurrencyexchange.Sothechangeofexchangeratewilldirectlyaffectimportandexportpricesofgoodsandservices,thusaffectingimportandexportquantity.ThisresearchisabouttheinfluenceofRMBappreciationforimportandexporttrade,includingtheimpactofpositiveeffectsandnegativeeffects,import,export,importandexportcommoditystructureandwaysoftrade,etc.Thisresearchisbasedontheauthorityofthestatisticsdepartment,usingthetheoryofinternationaltrade,empiricalandanalysisusingthemethodofcombining,attemptstocomprehensivelyanalyzetheappreciationofRMBappreciationonChinainparticular,toacceleratetheimportandexporttrade,andsomeofthemeasuresshouldbetakentohandleRMBappreciation.
INTRODUCTION
Indifferentperiodofeconomicdevelopment,China'sRMBexchangeratemechanismadopteddifferent.InJuly2005,China'sRMBexchangerateformationmechanismwasreformedwithareferencetobasketofcurrenciesofmediationtoimplementamanagedfloatingexchangeratesystem.Sincethen,RMBwentintoalong-termslowappreciationtrack.Especiallysince2007,theRMBappreciationhasacceleratedthepaceofrecordhighs.ToDecember24,2007,theRMBagainsttheU.S.dollarbreakthrough7.3315:
1andhasappreciated6.09%.AndChina'simportandexporttradehasalsoexperiencedatortuoushistory.Sincethereformandopeninguppolicy,China'simportandexportwentintothetrackofhealthydevelopment,especiallyinrecentyears,China'sforeigntradevolume,qualityandstructurehaveachieveddegreesofimprovement.In2002,Chinabecametheworld'sfifthlargesttradingnation.In2004Chinamadeit6yearsearliertoimplementalongtermgoaltogaina10000billonforeigntrade,andfinallythetotalnumberwas1.15477trillionU.S.dollars.China’sforeigntradeshares
of12%oftheworldastheworld'sthirdlargesttradingpower,behindtheUnitedStatesandGermany.Sincethen,China'simportandexporttradecontinuestoleadadouble-digitgrowth.In2006,China'sforeigntradevolumereached1.7604trillionU.Sdollars,in2007breakingtwotrillionU.Sdollars,thetotalforeigntradereached2.167trillionU.S.dollars.
HowmuchimpactonChina'simportandexporttradedoesRMBappreciationhave?
Whatarethepositiveeffectsandnegativeeffects?
WhatkindofinfluencedoesRMBappreciationhaveonChina'simportandexportquantity,quality,amount,structureandwaysoftrade?
ThisarticlewillfocusinJanuary2007sincetherevaluation,forexample,fromtheperspectiveofempiricalandstatisticaltomakeananalysisofRMBappreciationonChina'simportandexporttrade.
Asisknown,rateofexchangehasgreatinfluenceonimportandexporttrade,becausetheexchangerateisakindofcurrencyreflectstherelativetoanothercurrencyexchange.Sothechangeofexchangeratewilldirectlyaffectimportandexportpricesofgoodsandservices,thusaffectingimportandexportquantity.RMBappreciationonChina'simportandexporttradecanbedividedintopositiveandnegativeeffectsofboth.
?
RMBappreciation’spositiveimpactontheimportandexporttrade
1.1TosomeextenttoimprovethetradeenvironmentinChina
Foralongtime,Chinaimplementsmercantilesystem,thatistobringdownproductioncosts,expandproductintheinternationalmarketshareandexportstoearnmoreforeignexchange.Undertheguidanceofthislineofthought,China'stradesurplusgrows,foreignexchangereserveshaverisensteadily,andonlyyearsofeffortChinabecamethe
world'sfirst,anditsamountislargerandlargerthanthesecondone.Tosomeextent,surplusandfore
- 配套讲稿:
如PPT文件的首页显示word图标,表示该PPT已包含配套word讲稿。双击word图标可打开word文档。
- 特殊限制:
部分文档作品中含有的国旗、国徽等图片,仅作为作品整体效果示例展示,禁止商用。设计者仅对作品中独创性部分享有著作权。
- 关 键 词:
- About Influences 0n our import and export trade Countermeasures of Longterm Appreciation RMB
![提示](https://static.bdocx.com/images/bang_tan.gif)
链接地址:https://www.bdocx.com/doc/480979.html