06真题.docx
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06真题.docx
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06真题
Passage1-1
"Depression" is more than a serious economic downturn. What distinguishes a depressionfrom a harsh recession is paralyzing fear - fear of the unknown so great that it causesconsumers, businesses, and investors to retreat and panic. They save up cash anddesperately cut spending. They sell stocks and other assets. A shattering loss of confidenceinspires behavior that overwhelms the normal self-correcting mechanisms that usually preventa recession from becoming deep and prolonged:
a depression.
Comparing 1929 with 2007-09, Christina Romer, the head of President Obama's Council ofEconomic Advisers, finds the initial blow to confidence far greater now than then. True, stockprices fell a third from September to December 1929, but fewer Americans then owned stocks.Moreover, home prices barely dropped. From December 1928 to December 1929, totalhousehold wealth declined only 3%. By contrast, the loss in household wealth betweenDecember 2007 and December 2008 was 17%. Both stocks and homes, more widely held,dropped more. Thus traumatized (受到创伤) the economy might have gone into a free fall endingin depression. Indeed, it did go into free fall. Shoppers refrained from buying cars, appliances,and other big-ticket items. Spending on such "durables" dropped at a 12% annual rate in2008's third quarter, a 20% rate in the fourth. And businesses shelved investment projects.
That these huge declines didn't lead to depression mainly reflects, as Romer argues,countermeasures taken by the government. Private markets for goods, services, labor, andsecurities do mostly self-correct, but panic feeds on itself and disarms these stabilizingtendencies. In this situation, only government can protect the economy as a whole, becausemost individuals and companies are involved in the self-defeating behavior of self-protection.Government's failure to perform this role in the early 1930s transformed recession intodepression. Scholars will debate which interventions this time - the Federal Reserve's supportof a failing credit system, guarantees of bank debt, Obama's ''stimulus" plan and bank "stresstest"- counted most in preventing a recurrence. Regardless, all these complex measures hadthe same psychological purpose:
to reassure people that the free fall would stop and,thereby, curb the fear that would perpetuate (使持久) a free fall.
All this improved confidence. But the consumer sentiment index remains weak, and all therebound has occurred in Americans' evaluation of future economic conditions, not the present.Unemployment (9.8%) is abysmal (糟透的), the recovery's strength unclear. Here, too, thereis an echo from the 1930s. Despite bottoming out in 1933, the Depression didn't end untilWorld War II. Some government policies aided recovery; some hindered it. The good newstoday is that the bad news is not worse.
注意:
此部分试题请在答题卡2上作答。
52. Why do consumers, businesses and investors retreat and panic in times of depression?
A) They suffer great losses in stocks, property and other assets.
B) They find the self-correcting mechanisms dysfunctioning.
C) They are afraid the normal social order will be paralyzed.
D) They don't know what is going to happen in the future.
53. What does Christina Romer say about the current economic recession?
A) Its severity is no match for the Great Depression of 1929.
B) Its initial blow to confidence far exceeded that of 1929.
C) It has affected house owners more than stock holders.
D) It has resulted in a free fall of the prices of commodities.
54. Why didn't the current recession turn into a depression according to Christina Romer?
A) The government intervened effectively.
B) Private markets corrected themselves.
C) People refrained from buying durables and big-ticket items.
D) Individuals and companies adopted self-protection measures.
55. What is the chief purpose of all the countermeasures taken?
A) To create job opportunities.
B) To curb the fear of a lasting free fall.
C) To stimulate domestic consumption.
D) To rebuild the credit system.
56. What does the author think of today's economic situation?
A) It may worsen without further stimulation.
B) It will see a rebound sooner or later.
C) It has not gone from bad to worse.
D) It does not give people reason for pessimism.
Passage 1-2
Questions 57 to 62 are based on the following passage.
"Usually when we walk through the rain forest we hear a soft sound from all the moist leavesand organic debris on the forest floor," says ecologist Daniel Nepstad."Now we increasinglyget rustle and crunch. That's the sound of a dying forest."
Predictions of the collapse of the tropical rain forests have been around for years. Yet untilrecently the worst forecasts were almost exclusively linked to direct human activity, such asclear-cutting and burning for pastures or farms. Left alone, it was assumed, the world's rainforests would not only flourish but might even rescue us from disaster by absorbing theexcess carbon dioxide and other planet-warming greenhouse gases. Now it turns out thatmay be wishful thinking. Some scientists believe that the rise in carbon levels means that theAmazon and other rain forests in Asia and Africa may go from being assets in the battle againstrising temperatures to liabilities. Amazon plants, for instance, hold more than 100 billion metrictons of carbon, equal to 15 years of tailpipe and chimney emissions. If the collapse of the rainforests speeds up dramatically, it could eventually release 3.5-5 billion metric tons of carboninto the atmosphere each year - making forests the leading source of greenhouse gases.
Uncommonly severe droughts brought on by global climate changes have led to forest-eatingwildfires from Australia to Indonesia, but nowhere more acutely than in the Amazon. Someexperts say that the rain forest is already at the .
Extreme weather and reckless development arc plotting against the rain forest in ways thatscientists have never seen. Trees need more water as temperatures rise, but the prolongeddroughts have robbed them of moisture, making whole forests easily cleared of trees andturned into farmland. The picture worsens with each round of El Nino, the unusually warmcurrents in the Pacific Ocean that drive up temperatures and invariably presage (预示)droughts and fires in the rain forest. Runaway fires pour even more carbon into the air, whichincreases temperatures, starting the whole vicious cycle all over again.
More than paradise lost, a perishing rain forest could trigger a domino effect - sending windsand rains kilometers off course and loading the skies with even greater levels of greenhousegases - that will be felt far beyond the Amazon basin. In a sense, we are already getting aglimpse of what's to come. Each burning season in the Amazon, fires deliberately set byfrontier settlers and developers hurl up almost half a billion metric tons of carbon a year,placing Brazil among the top five contributors to greenhouse gases in the world.
注意:
此部分试题请在答题卡2上作答。
57. We learn from the first paragraph that _______.
A) dead leaves and tree debris make the same sound
B) trees that are dying usually give out a soft moan
C) organic debris echoes the sounds in a rain forest
D) the sound of a forest signifies its health condition
58. In the second paragraph, the author challenges the view that _______.
A) the collapse of rain forests is caused by direct human interference
B) carbon emissions are the leading cause of current global warming
C) the condition of rain forests has been rapidly deteriorating
D) rain forests should not be converted into pastures or farms
59. The author argues that the rising carbon levels in rain forests may ______.
A) turn them into a major source of greenhouse gases
B) change the weather patterns throughout the world
C) pose a threat to wildlife
D) accelerate their collapse
60. What has made it easier to turn some rain forests into farmland?
A) Rapid rise in carbon levels.
B) Reckless land development.
C) Lack of rainfall resulting from global warming.
D) The unusual warm currents in the Pacific Ocean.
61. What makes Brazil one of the world's top five contributors to greenhouse gases?
A) The domino effect triggered by the perishing rain forests.
B) Its practice of burning forests for settlement and development.
C) The changed patterns of winds and rains in the Amazon area.
D) Its inability to curb the carbon emissions from industries.
Passage 2-1
Questions 52 to 56 are based on the following passage.
The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics was just as gloomy as anticipated.Unemployment in January jumped to a 16-year high of 7.6 percent, as 598000 jobs wereslashed from US payrolls in the worst single-month decline since December,1974. With 1.8million jobs lost in the last three months, there is urgent desire to boost the economy asquickly as possible. But Washington would do well to take a deep breath before reacting to thegrim numbers.
Collectively, we rely on the unemployment figures and other statistics to frame our sense ofreality. They are a vital part of an array of data that we use to assess if we're doing well ordoing badly, and that in turn shapes government policies and corporate budgets and personalspending decisions. The problem is that the statistics aren't an objective measure of reality;they are simply a best approximation. Directionally, they capture the trends, but the idea thatwe know precisely how many are unemployed is a myth. That makes finding a solution all themore difficult.
First, there is the way the data is assembled. The official unemployment rate is the product ofa telephone survey of about 60000 homes. There is another survey, sometimes referred to asthe "payroll survey," that assesses 400000 businesses based on their reported payrolls. Bothsurveys have problems. The payroll survey can easily double-count someone:
if you are oneperson with two jobs, you show up as two w
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