投资学英文论文2.docx
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投资学英文论文2.docx
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投资学英文论文2
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2006-2012yearsRealestatesituationchangeanalysis
Sinceendingofthe20thcentury,withChina’srapideconomicdevelopmentanddeepeningthehousingsystemreforms.therealestateindustywasbecometheleadingindustryoftheChinaeconomicsdevelopment,andthefluctuationofrealestatemakethaveimportantimpactonthemacroeconomy.butakindsofproblemsappearwithstheprosperingofthemarkerts.Historyimpliesthatoverlyfluctuationofrealestatemaketcanhurtthebaseoffinacialsystemandeconomy.Therefor,applythedataof2006-2012yearsofchina,wecantoanalyzethechangeofrealestatesituation
1.Investmentactuallycompletedbyenterpriseforrealestatemaketanalysis.
Investmentbyenterpriseforreslestatemaketisasignificantfactorofcauseingthefluctuationofrealestatemaket.thisdatacanclearlyshowthatwhethertherealestatemakethavebetterdevelopment.now,wecanfollowthisdatatounderstandthatchangeofthemaketinvestmentsituation.
Table1.1(100millionyuan)
year
Investmentcompletedthisyear
TotalInvestmentinFixedAssetsintheWholeCountry
TotalInvestmentinFixedAssetsintheWholeCountryshareof
Investmentcompleted
GDP
GDPshareof
Investmentcompleted
2006
19422.90
109998.2
17.66%
216314.4
8.98%
2007
25288.84
137323.9
18.42%
265810.3
9.51%
2008
31203.19
172828.4
18.05%
314045.4
9.94%
2009
36241.81
224598.8
16.14%
340902.8
10.63%
2010
48259.40
278121.9
17.35%
401202.0
12.03%
Datasources:
People'sRepublicofChinanationalbureauofstatisticsnets(2011)
Asillustratedintable1.1,since2006to2010,fristy,thecompletedinvestmentbyenterpriseforestatemaketcanincreasdyearbyyear.from194229.90100millionyuantorise48259.40millionyuan.It’smeansthescaleofChinarealestatemaketcanexpandedatthisyears.Secondly,wecanunderstandthattherealestateinvestmentaccountsfortotalinvestmentinfixdeassetsinthewholecountrybymorethan15%.hence,itincreasecanmakemoreeffercttoadcancethattotalinvestmentinfixdeassetsinthewholecountryincreasedyearbyyear.Thirdly,theshareofGDPgoingtotherealestateinvestmentrisefrom8.98%to12.03%.thisshowthattherealestateinvestmentgrowthcanobviouslypromoteGDPgrowth.therefor,atsomeleve,therealestatemarketincreasedinvestmentcanencouragetheutilizationrateofassetsofthewholesociety,andpromotethegrowthofthenationaleconomy.Fromthistable1,wecanseethat,inChina'seconomicgrowthenvironment,thoughappearakindsofproblems,buttherealestatemarketoverallinvestmentalsohavearisingtrend,andthedominantpositionofthegrowthofnationaleconomy.
2.ananalysisofSaleofCommercializedBuildings
TheconditionofsaleofcommercializedbuildingscanresponsethedemandofChinarealestatemaket.,sowecananalysealotofdatainordertoundetstandwhatthechangeofthedemandforourcountry.
Table2.1
year
FloorSpaceof
Commercialized
Builidingssold
(10000sq.m)
FloorSpaceof
Commercialized
Builidingssold
Growthrate(%)
Totalsaleof
Commercialize
Buildings
(10000yuan)
Totalsaleof
Commercialize
Buildings
Growthrate
2006
61857.07
11.48%
20826.96
18.49%
2007
77354.72
25.05%
29889.12
43.52%
2008
65969.83
-14.72%
25068.18
-16.13%
2009
94755.00
43.63%
44355.17
76.93%
2010
104764.65
10.56%
52721.24
18.86%
Datasources:
People'sRepublicofChinanationalbureauofstatisticsnets(2011)
Asillustratedintable2.1,since2006to2007,thefloorspaceofcommercializedbuilingssoldcanincreasd.Therefore,thetotalsalesalsohaceriseingtrend.But,since2007to2008,thefloorspaceofhouseandsalesappeartheobviouslynegativegrowth,themainreasonisAmerica'ssubprimecrisisin2008.itmadetheglobaleconomicgrowthtoslowdown,consumerdemandalsodropped,inflation,people'spessimisticexpectationsandsoon.thiscanweakenthepeople'sactualpurchasingpower,bringaboutpeople’sdemandofhousedecline.meanwhilethenumberofrealestateenterprisesfrom2007in62518addedto87562in2008,causetherealestatemarkethasmoresupplythandemand.
However,formthetable2,in2009,therealestatemarketrisesharply,thetotalareaof65969.83fromsalessp.mroseto94755sp.m.becausenationaleconomicstimuluspoliciesandtheloosemonetarypolicy,therealestatemarketinChinathatmarketwarmsupinthestate,butinthesecondhalfof2009,realestatedevelopmentshownofoverheating.
Becausethedatacollectionisnotenough,sowecan'tgetthe2011-2012yearsofrelevantdata,it’sknow,fromtheendof2009tonow,thegovernmentadoptedaseriesofcontrolrealestatepricesofmacroeconomicregulation,.suchas,housingloanprovisionsshallnotbelowerthan30%down,downtopurchasesecondhomesshallnotbelowerthan50%.In2011,thestatecouncilofthestandingcommitteelaunchedarticle8realestatemarketregulationmeasures"kingdomofarticle8"andsoonaspectsofthedevelopmentofrealestatemarket,therealestatemarketdevelopmenttopreventoverheating.
3.therelationshipbetweenthereal-estatemaketinvestmentfluctuationandeconomicgrowth
WecanthroughtheanalysisbetweerealestateinvestmentgrowthratesandGDPgrowthoftherelationship,understandtherelationshipbetweenChina'srealestatemarketinvestmentfluctuationoftheeconomicgrowth.
Table3.2
2006-2011Investmentinrealestatedevelopmentandgrowthsituation
year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Investmentcompletedthisyear(100millionyuan)
19422.9
25288.84
31203.19
36241.81
48259.4
Investmentcompletedgrowthrate(%)
22.09%
30.20%
23.39%
16.14%
33.16%
Datasources:
People'sRepublicofChinanationalbureauofstatisticsnets(2011)
Table3.3
Grossdomesticproduct(GDP)growthsituation
year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
GDP(100millionyuan)
216314.40
265810.30
314045.40
340902.80
401202.00
GDPgrowthrate(%)
16.96%
22.88%
18.15%
8.50%
17.69%
Table3.4
Bytheline,wecanclearlyseethatrealestatedevelopmentinvestmentgrowthspeedandGDPgrowthrateisalmostthesame,06-07rise,reachedthehighestin2007,andthenfrombegan2008tocontinuetofall,until2009thenpickup.Wecanseethatrealestateisanimportantpartofthemacroeconomy,thechart,betweenrealestateinvestmentgrowthrateandGDPindexeshasacloserelationandinteraction.Thus,therealestatemarketinvestmentfluctuationsisaistheimportantfactoreconomicgrowth
4.InvestmentinrealestatedevelopmentrelationshipwithCPI&PPI
Theabove,itisknownthatthegrowthofinvestmentinrealestatedevelopment,leadingtoasharpincreaseoffixedassets,makingtheGDPgrowth.Inthatcase,wouldcauseinflationordeflation?
WewillthroughtheanalysisofrealestatedevelopmentinvestmentgrowthrateandCPI.&PPT.findandunderstandtherelationship.
Table4.1
Datasources:
People'sRepublicofChinanationalbureauofstatisticsnets(2011)
Inamarketeconomycountry,itisgenerallythoughtthatCPIgrowthat2%-3%belongtoacceptablerange,
Acoordingtothetable,itisknownthattherealestatemarketdevelopmentinvestmentgrowthrateandtheCPI,PPTchangetrendissimilar.Thuswecansee,whentherealestatemarketdevelopmentinvestmenttooquickly,CPI.PPIindexofalsoproducepositivegrowth,andtoalargerextent,itshowsthatthiswillappearinflation,whentherealestatemarketdevelopmentinvestmentisnationwithashrinking,CPI,PPIindexalsoshownnegativegrowth,sowillappeardeflation.Forthisreason,therealestatemarketgreatlyinvestmentcancauseseriousinflation,sohowtoreasonableplanninginvestmentrealestatemarketisparticularlyimportant.
Summary
Inconclusion,since2006to2012,AtChinarealestateindustry.wecandividedtherealestateindustrydevelopmentprocessintothreestages.
Thefirststage,2006-2007,thesetwoyears,therealestateindustryintherapiddevelopmentstage,Actually,from2003to2007,China'srealestateisinboomperiod,themarketsystemgraduallywasperfect,supplyanddemandofrealestateisbalance,realestatepricesarerelativelystable.
ButinSeptemberof2007,thepeople'sbankofChinaissuedthe"onstrengtheningthemanagementofcommercialrealestatemortgagecreditcall".(thenoticesetthat,"thesecondday"housingloanscaledown40%andthelendingrateshallnotbelowerthanthesameperiodshallnotbelowerthanthebenchmarkinterestrateof1.1times),policyseverelylimitsthemarketspeculation,makinghousingdemandhasdroppedsharply,andenterpriseprofitdrop,increasethepressuroftherealestateenterpriseloan.atthesametime,theU.Sbreakoutsubprimecrisisin2008.thenChina'srealestatemarketisalsobeashock.
thesecondstage.In2008-2009.Thedatashows,atthistime,China'srealestatemarketisinarecessionstage,thehousingpriceandvolumenationwithashrinking,slowingthespeedofdevelopment.
Insuchasituation,thecountryhasissuedaseriesofpoliciestodealwiththisstageisproblem,in2008,forexample,thepeople'sbankofChinacutinterestratesthreetimesayear,atthesametimealsocutindividualhousingaccumulationfundloaninterestrate,measurestostimulatedemand.
Thethirdstage,from2009to2012,throughaseriesofstimulatingrealestatedevelopmentmeasures,beganin2009,therealestateindustrydevelopmentgraduallyimproved.justbecausethegoodpolicies,makestherealestatemarketexcessivegrowth.socountriespublishcontrolmeasurestomakeslowtherateofgrowthofrealest
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