蝴蝶效应青蛙现象木桶理论马太效应Butterfly effect frog phenomenon barrel theory Matthew effectWord文件下载.docx
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蝴蝶效应青蛙现象木桶理论马太效应Butterfly effect frog phenomenon barrel theory Matthew effectWord文件下载.docx
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2,frogphenomenon:
putafrogdirectlyintothehotpot,becauseitisverysensitivetotheadverseenvironmentreaction,willquicklyjumpoutofthepot.Ifyouputafrogintoapotofcoldwaterandslowlyheated,thefrogwillnotimmediatelyjumpedoutofthepot,watertemperaturegraduallyincreasedintheendisthefrogwasboiledtodeath,becauseofthehightemperaturetothefrogisunbearable,itwastoolate,orcannotjumpoutofthepot.-
Thefrogtellsussomeabruptevents,ofteneasytoarousepeople'
sawareness,andpronetocauseofdeathisinthecaseoffeelgood,totherealsituationgraduallyworsened,andnosoberawareness.-
3,thecrocodileLaw:
theoriginalintentionistoassumethatacrocodilebiteyourfeet,ifyoutrytoshakeyourfeetwithyourhands,thecrocodilewillbiteyourfeetandhands.Themoreyoustruggle,themoreyougetbitten.So,ifthecrocodilebitesyourfoot,theonlywayyoucandoitistosacrificeonefoot.-
Forexample,inthestockmarket,thelawofcrocodilesis:
whenyoufindthatyourtradingdeviatesfromthedirectionofthemarket,youmuststopimmediately,thereisnodelay,youcannothaveanyluck.-
4,catfisheffect:
previously,sardinesduringtransport,thesurvivalrateisverylow.Afteritwasfoundthatifthesardinesinacatfish,wasimproved,thesurvivalratewillbegreatlyimproved.Whyisthat?
Theoriginalcatfishintoastrangeenvironment,will"
temperament"
aroundthistour,foralargenumberofprivatesardines,undoubtedlyplayedaroleinstirring;
andsardinefoundsucha"
dissidentelements"
alsoverynervous,speedswimming.Thisproblemisthesardineshypoxiasmoothlydoneoreasilysolvedsardineswillnotdie.-
5,herdingsheep:
wheretogo,thesheepwillfollowwheretogo.-
Herdingisthefirstinvestmentinsharesofaterm,mainlyreferstotheinvestor'
slearningandimitationphenomenoninthetransactionprocess,"
suit"
blindlyfollowothers,leadingthemtobuyandsellthesamestockinacertainperiodoftime.-
6,hedgehogLaw:
twosleepyhedgehog,becauseofcoldembracetogether.Becausetheyhadthornsoneachside,theyleftadistance,buttheycouldn'
tstandit,sotheygottogether.Afterseveralagonizing,twohedgehogsfinallyfoundasuitabledistance:
bothcangeteachother'
swarmthandnotbecaught.-
Thehedgehogrulemainlyreferstothe"
psychologicaldistanceeffect"
ininterpersonalcommunication"
.-
7,thelawofwatches:
watchLawreferstoapersonhasatable,youcanknowwhattimeisnow,andwhenhehastwoatthesametime,butcannotbedetermined.Twotablesdonottellapersonmoreaccuratetime,butwillmakethewatchpeopleloseconfidenceinaccuratetime.-
Watchlawgivesusaveryintuitiveinspirationintheaspectofenterprisemanagement,isnotthesamepersonorthesameorganizationatthesametimeadoptdifferentmethods,cannotsetdifferentgoalsatthesametime,everyonecannotbybothatthesametimecommand,
Otherwise,theenterpriseorindividualwillbeataloss.-
8,thebrokenwindowtheory:
ahouseifthewindowisbroken,noonetorepair,notlongbefore,theotherwindowswillberatherbafflingtobebroken;
awall,ifthereissomegraffitiisnotwashedaway.Soon,thewallwasfullofthingsoutoforder,notfittobeseen;
averycleanthelocalpeoplefeelshy,rubbish,butoncethegroundlitterthere,peoplewillnothesitatetothrow,noshame.-
9,the28law(Baledo'
slaw):
19attheendofthecenturyatthebeginningofthetwentiethCenturyItalyeconomistBaledobelievesthatinanygroupofthings,themostimportantofwhichonlyasmallpart,about20%,althoughthemajorityoftheremaining80%,issecondary.About80%ofthewealthofthesocietyisconcentratedin20%ofthepeople,while80%ofthepeopleonlyhave20%ofthesocialwealth.Thisstatisticalimbalanceexistseverywhereinsociety,economyandlife,andthisisthe28law.-
The28ruletellsus,donotmeananalysis,andlookattheproblem,theenterprisemanagementandthemanagementtoseize
thekeyminority;
tofindoutwhocanbring80%totalprofit,butaccountedforonly20%ofkeycustomers,strengthentheservice,toachieveamultipliereffect;
businessleaderstotakeseriouslytheworkofclassificationanalysistothemainefforttosolveproblems,graspthemainproject.-
10,casktheory:
ifthewoodenboardisnotuniform,thenthewaterofthecaskisnotdeterminedbythelongestpieceofwood,butdependsontheshortestpieceofwood.-
11,Mattheweffect:
inthegospelofMatthew,thereisafamoussaying:
"
ifthereisanything,addittohim,andmakehimmorethanhehas;
ifhehasnothing,hewilltakeallthathehas."
."
Sociologistshaveextendedtheconceptof"
Mattheweffect"
todescribethephenomenonofpolarizationwidelyexistinginthefieldofsociallife.-
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1.Cagelogic
Hangabeautifulbirdcageinthemostconspicuouspartoftheroom,andinafewdays,themastermustmakeoneofthefollowingtwochoices:
throwthecageout,orbuyabirdandreturnittothecage.Thisisthebirdcagelogic.Theprocess
issimple,imagineyouaretheowneroftheroom,aslongassomeonewalksintotheroomandseesthecage,youcan'
thelpasking:
whataboutbirds?
"
Isitdead?
Whenyousay,"
I'
veneverhadabird."
Peopleask,"
so,whatdoyouwantabirdcagefor?
Finally,youhavetochoosetwoofthetwochoices,becauseit'
smucheasierthantheendlessexplanation.Thereasonforthelogicofcagelogicissimple:
mostpeopleuseinertiathinking.Sohowimportantitistocultivatelogicalthinkinginlifeandwork.-
2,brokenwindoweffect
Thestudyofpsychologyhasaphenomenoncalled"
brokenwindoweffect"
thatistosay,ahouseifthewindowisbroken,noonetorepair,notlongbefore,theotherwindowswillberatherbafflingtobebroken;
awall,ifthereissomegraffitiisnotclean,verysoon,thewallwasfulloutoforderandnotfittobeseen.Acleanplace,peoplewillbeembarrassedtothrowgarbage,butoncethereisgarbageontheground,peoplewillnothesitatetothrow,donotfeelashamed.Thisisreallyastrangephenomenon.-
Psychologistsstudyisthe"
tippingpoint"
thegroundistobedirty,peoplewillfeelitissodirty,dirtyagainalittlematter,whatisgoingtowhatextent,peoplewillgiveuponthemselves,letitrotintheend.-
Anybadthing,ifitdoesnotstopatthebeginning,formtheatmosphere,changecannotbechanged,justliketheriverbank,
Asmallgapisnotrepairedintime,cancollapsedam,resultinginmillionsoftimesloss.-
Crimeisactuallytheresultofdisorder,NewYorkin80s,thereisnowheretograb,nodaywithoutkilling,walkingontheroadinthedaytimewillalsobeafraid.Nottomentionthesubway,cardirty,filthywordseverywherecovered,sittingonthesubway,feelinsecure.AlthoughIhavenotbeenrobbed,butprofessorshavebeeninduringpeacefultimesunderstruckasap,blindness,fromtheendofhisresearchcareer,makemeformanyyearsahorribletopic,notalonetogotoNewYorkforameeting.ThecityandthecityofNewYorkrecentlyknowntoupgradealot,Iamquitesurprised,adownthecity,couldrevive,upward.-
Therefore,whenIwenttoameeting,metacriminologist,immediatelyconsulthim,theoriginalNewYorkcityisthelastbookofthebrokenwindowseffecttheory,toimprovethecrimeenvironment,soitisnoteasytocrime,andthenslowlyecaughtstealing,returntoorder.-
Atthattime,althoughthisapproachbeingscoldedforslow,"
theshipissinkinginthewashdeck"
butNewYorkcityorfromthemaintenanceofsubwaycarscleanhands,andwillnotbuyticketstowhitepeopletakehandcuffsinarowstoodontheplatform,opentothepublicdeclarationofthegovernmenttorectifythedeterminationresults.Thatisveryeffective.-
Thepolicefoundthatpeoplereallyisnotcleaninthecrime
situation,alsofoundthatcatchtothegreatharvest,becauseeveryseventothepeoplehaveawantedcriminal,twentyhaveacarryweapons,sothepolicewouldveryseriouslytocatchto,whichmakesthecriminalsdonotdaretogoto.Don'
tbringweapons,so,heThelossoutweighsthegain.Inthisway,NewYorkhasbrokenthecriminalring(chain)fromthesmallestandeasiestplacetomakethisviciouscycleimpossible
3,responsibilitydispersioneffect
OnMarch1964,at3:
20onthenightof13,ayoungwomannamedJunoandwhitewasassassinatedonthewayhomewhenshefinishedherworkinanapartmentoutsideNe
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