Earth 2100地球2100字幕Word下载.docx

Earth 2100地球2100字幕Word下载.docx

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sarealpossibility.

Goodevening,I'

mBobWoodruff.Overthenexttwohours,we'

lltakeyouonajourneyintoaworldthatcouldawaitusandourchildren.370,000babieswillbeborntoday.Andwe'

vetakenthelibertyofcreatingonemore,afictionalcharacterwe'

recallingLucy,whowillbeourguidethroughthiscentury.Herlifestoryisnotapredictionaboutwhatwillhappen,butwhatmighthappen.

Jun022100

Thisoncegloriouscity,whoselightsatnightcouldbeseenformiles,emptynow.It'

stoweringskyscrapers,onceatestamenttoouringenuity,nowstandascrumblingmonumentstoourdemise.

JOHNPEDESTA

“Maybeonlyartistscangraspwhatthatkindofffuturereallyholdsforus.It'

sperhapsintheareathatwethinkoftodayassciencefiction,butthatcouldbeaveryrealfuturefortheplanet.”

JAREDDIAMOND

“Ahundredyearsfromnow,ifNewYorkisabandoned,Icanimaginesomeadvancedcreatures,maybehumans,maybeextraterrestrials,lookingatNewYorkandsaying,thoseignorantpeople,howonEarthcouldtheyhaveeverexpectedtosurvive?

”

Icanaskmyselfwhathappened,butwheredoIbegin?

Withthedroughts,thefamines,theplague?

Itbeganlongbeforeallthat.Ilivedthroughitall.Mystoryiseveryone'

sstory,thestoryofthelastcentury.

JUN022009

IwasbornJune2nd,2009.Civilizationwasatacrossroads.Wewereinaraceforourfuture.

OBAMA

Today,Isaytoyouthatthechallengeswefacearereal.Theyareseriousandtheyaremany.

NEWS

Thetemperatureisexpectedtokeepgoingup.

Thestockmarketplunged.

DouglasCountywillrunoutofdrinkingwater.

Theywillnotbemeteasilyorinashortspanoftime.

SixthgradercamedownwithsuspectedswinefluonWednesday.

THOMASHOMERDIXON

Energy,climate,food,population,economicpressures,anyoneofthesechallengesmight

beveryseriousinitself.Butbecausethey'

rehappeningallsimultaneously,it'

sgoingtobeverydifficultforourgovernmentstocope.

WhenIlookatthenextcentury,Ifeelit'

supforgrabs.

-Raisingsealevels...

-Catastrophicweather.

-Ten-yeardrought...

-it'

sscary.

-Thesearethingsthatarehappeningtoday.

-Thetimeforactionisnow.

Theworldhadneverknownsuchuncertainty.Wewereusedtohavingwhatwewantedanddolingwhatwewanted.

TheanalogythatIwoulddrawissomeonelookingattheirbankaccountandweekafterweek,they'

rewithdrawingmoneyandthey'

reenjoyingthegoodlife.Iftheywouldbothertoreadthestatements,theywouldseethatthebankaccountisdropping$900,$800,$700,$600.Andatthatrateyouknowthatanothersixmonthsofthegoodlifeisnotgonnabeagoodlifeanymore.

PETERGLEICK

We'

veactedasthoughwewereindependentoftheenvironment.Weburnedfossilfuels.We'

veoverusedourrenewableresourcesinthebeliefthatwecoulddothatforever.

VANJONES

Peoplearecomplainingabouttheeconomiccrisiswehaverightnow.Youhaven'

tseennothingyet.Youknow,ifwecontinuedownthissuicidalpathwaythatwe'

reon,wherewebasicallyturnlivingstuffintodeadstuffandcallthateconomicgrowth,thiswilllooklikethegoodolddays.

APR242012THEGOODOLDDAYS

AlthoughtheworldIwasbornintowasrunningoutofsomuch,water,oil,land,Irememberalovingfamily,abighouse,greenlawn,morewaterthanweknewwhattodowith.Myparentsmusthaveknownwhatwashappening.Wehadacompactcarandrecycled.Anditwasn'

tjustus.Smart,imaginativepeopleeverywherewereworkingfuriouslyonsolutions.Ourgovernmentwaspouringmoneyintoalternativeenergy.Itseemedlikeeveryonewasgrowingtheirownvegetablegarden.Windmillsweresproutingupallover.Peoplewerebeginningtounderstand.Buttheclockwasrunningout,andnaturewasalwaysonestepahead.

TERRYROOT

Flowersarebloomingearlierandtreesareleafingearlier.Birdsarecomingbackfrommigrationmuchearlier.

JANINEBENYLUS

IfyouweretopullbackfromtheEarth,whatyouwouldseeissortofarefugeemovement,ifyouwill.Andspeciesaremovingtheirrangesfarthernorthtogettocool,fromsouthtonorth,andfromthevalleysuptothemountaintops.

AUG272014SUMMEROFTHEDRAGONFLY

Ofcourse,asachild,Ididn'

tnoticethesethings,havingnothingtocompareitto.Iwasalittlegirlenchantedbymysmallworld.Untilonesummer,thousands,maybemillions,ofdragonfliesshowedupoutofnowhere.TheyweredelicateandbeautifulandIputoneinajar.Mymotherwaspuzzledandlookedthemup.TheyweresupposedtobeinCuba,notMiami.ItwasnotuntilmuchlaterthatIrealizedtheywereasignofwhatwastocome.

It'

s2015,sixshortyearsfromnow,andthebest-laidplansaregettingunderway.AwavefarmoffScotlandisharnessingtheocean'

senergy.VaticanCityhasgonetotallysolar.AndhereinAmerica,carsarerunningcleanerandmoreefficiently.Still,weclingtothatoldhabit,oil,andit'

sgettingharderandmoreexpensivetofind.

Fromcoasttocoast,motoristsaresearchingforrelieffromsoaringgaspricesinCalifornia...

Wecouldseeadoublingortriplingofrealoilprices,that'

safterinflation.

MICHAELKLARE

rerunningoutofoilandwe'

vecreatedasociety,theAmericanwayoflifeiswhatwecallit,basedontheassumptionthatoilwillbeplentifulforever.

Thelargespreadoutsuburbsthatwe'

vegrownaccustomedto,thestripmalls,thebigboxstoreswiththeirenormousparkinglotsaroundthem,allofthosehavebeenmadepossiblebecausewe'

vehadcheapgasoline,andasenergybecomesmuchmoreexpensive,you'

llseethatthoseareasbecomelessdesirableplacestolive.

FEB182015MOVINGDAY

ThefirsttimeImoved,Iwassix.Alotofpeoplewereleavingthesuburbsforthecity.Therewerenewjobs,andyoudidn'

tneedacarforeverything.MydadwasgoingtoworkonthenewstreetcarsysteminMiami.Andmymothertoldmeweweregoingtoliveonthetopfloorofanapartmentbuilding.Shesaidwe'

dseethepalmtreesbelowus.Iwasexcited,butalsoalittlesadtoleave.

Asthepriceofoilgoesup,Itwillripplethrougheverypartoftheglobaleconomy.

InWashingtontoday,protestersdemandedanendtorisingfoodprices.

Ouragriculturesystemisalmostwhollydependentoncheapoil.

JAMESHOWARDKUNSTLER

Tremendousamountsofdieselfuelthatareusedinplantingandharvestingandthenmovingthestuff,allthesevastdistances.

HEIDICULLEN

By2015intheUnitedStates,addabout20millionpeopletothepopulationandthenjustplayoutwhatthatdoestoconsumptionpatterns.Imean,the,thenumberofpeoplethatwe'

vegottofeed.There'

sjustbasicallythisslow,creepingtensionfornaturalresources.

HOST

AstheAmericanwayoflifebecomesincreasinglyunsustainable,therestoftheworldwillbetryingtocatchup.

ELIZABETHECONOMY

TheChineselikecars.Andtheylikebigcars.Youhave14,000carsoutontoChina'

sroadsdaily.

ROZMAYLOR

Incomesarerisingreallyrapidly.They'

removingintomeat-baseddiets.

Youneed10poundsofgraintogetonepoundofmeat.

Thereissimplynowaythattherestoftheworldcanstarteatingmeatthewaywedo.

IfeveryoneintheworldconsumedasmuchastheaverageAmerican,ItwouldtaketheresourcesoffourEarthstosupporttheplanet'

spopulation,whichraisesthequestion,shouldtherestoftheworldconsumeless,orshouldwe?

Americanhabits,though,arehardtobreak.

RICHARDHEINBERG

WeintheUShavegottenusedtotheideathatwe'

resomehowimmunetonaturallimitsandit'

stheotherpeoplewhoaregoingtosuffer.

JUL142015RUNNINGONEMPTY

Goodmorning,Miami.Thesummerof2015isontracktobecomeoneofthehottestinhistory.Temperaturesareexpectedtobeinthetripledigits.

MymotherandIwerewaitingforgas.Thelinewentaroundtheblockandthensome.Nothingnew.Butthistime,thelinehadstoppedmovingaltogether.Amanwhoworkedatthegasstationcameoutholdingasign.Peoplestartedyellingandtheygotoutoftheircarsandstartedmovingtowardshim.Mymothergotusoutoftherefast.

SEP082015

I'

vebeenstakingoutanareathat'

sbeenhithardrecentlybygassnatchers.Lookathim,hegetsout,walksrightuptothecar.Wow.Lookatthis,rightinthemiddleoftheday.There'

scarsgoingby,andtheseguysare-siphoninggasoutofsomeone'

scar.

Inthefaceofmountingprotestsoverrisinggasandfoodprices,Congresstodayapprovedaplantofundtheconstructionof40newcoal-firedpowerplantsoverthenextfiveyears.

Thecountrytooktheeasywayout.Coalwasonceagaintoutedasourso-calledsalvation.Butthemorecoalweburned,thefasterourplanetwarmed.Yougetthepicture.

PETERCLEICK

respewingmorecarbon,moremethane,morenitrousoxideintotheatmosphere.Allthebadthingsofclimatechangearecomingtrue.

Andmostpeoplewerejustgoingalongwiththeireverydaylivesasifnothinghadchanged.

Anduntilwehaveacrisi