美国数学建模比赛特等奖论文MCMWord下载.docx
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美国数学建模比赛特等奖论文MCMWord下载.docx
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nottomentionthelong,sometimestroubledrelationshipbetweenMr.Gore
andtheClintons.
Theissuespartyleadersaregrapplingwith,theysaid,includehowto
avoidtheperceptionofaback-roomdealthatthwartsthewillofmillions
ofvoterswhohavecastballotsinprimariesandcaucuses.Thatperception
couldcrippletheeventualDemocraticnomineeschancesofwinningthe
presidencyinNovember,theysaid.
Contents
Abstract.....................................................................................1
1Introduction.......................................................................3
1.1OtherAssumptions...........................................................
4
2
3
5
6
7
8
9
AnalysisoftheProblem....................................................
CalculatingandSimplifyingtheModel............................
TheModelResults..............................................................
ValidatingtheModel..........................................................
Conclusions........................................................................
ASummary.......................................................................
EvaluateoftheMode.........................................................
Strengthsandweaknesses..................................................
9.1Strengths.........................................................................
References.................................................................................7
Appendix..................................................................................7
page3of13
Team#...
1
Introduction
Shesaidthenomi-
nationshouldnotbede-
cidedbydelegatesfrom
FloridaandMichiganal-
locatedonthebasisof
votinginprimariesthere
lastmonth,astheClin-
toncampaignhaspro-
posed.Mrs.Clinton
gotmorevotesinboth
places,althoughneither
−5
Peaks
candidateactivelycam-
paignedthereandMr.
Obamawasnotevenon
theballotinMichigan.
y
−2
−3
−1
x
Thepartyhadpenalized
thosestatesforholding
Fig1:
Thefigure
theirprimariesearlierthanthepartywantedbystrippingthemoftheirdelegates
totheconvention.AlthoughMr.Gorehasexpressedconcernstosomeassociates
aboutthedamageabrokeredconventioncouldcause,severalassociatessaidhe
washopefulthatonecandidatewouldsoonbreakthrough,sparingtheparty
suchanoutcome.Hetoldaclosefriendrecentlythathisdecisionnottoendorse
feelsliketherightthingandthatheremainedoptimistictheraceisgoingtotip
atsomepoint,thefriendsaid.
AlthoughMr.Gorehasexpressedconcernstosomeassociatesaboutthe
damageabrokeredconventioncouldcause,severalassociatessaidhewashope-
fulthatonecandidatewouldsoonbreakthrough,sparingthepartysuchanout-
come.Hetoldaclosefriendrecentlythathisdecisionnottoendorsefeelslike
therightthingandthatheremainedoptimistictheraceisgoingtotipatsome
point,thefriendsaid.
·
...isconstant.
donotaffectthepopulation.
havenoeffecton....wecanignoreit.
...isnegligible
page4of13
1.1
OtherAssumptions
Undertheaboveandbasicassumptions,wecansetouttoconstructourmodel
(showourapproachindetail).
AnalysisoftheProblem
Fig2:
aa
page5of13
a11a12a13
Hypotenu
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