Earth2100地球2100字幕.docx
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Earth2100地球2100字幕.docx
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Earth2100地球2100字幕
THEEARTH2100
LUCY
Inmylife,I'veseenNewYorkCityunderfullquarantine.TheMidwest,overrun,devastatedbypests.PlaguessweepacrossCalifornia.Andthenwhathappenednextwassomethingnoneofussawcoming.Itbecamearaceagainsttimetosaveourfuture,toevenhaveafuture.It'stheyear2100andI--survived.
Tochangethefuture,firstyouhavetoimagineit."Earth2100"startsnow.
HOST(MAIN)
Theideathatwithinthiscentury,perhapsinyourlifetime,ourcivilizationcouldlieinruinsseemsunbelievable.Butaccordingtosomeoftheworld'sleadingminds,that'snotjustaworst-casescenario,it'sarealpossibility.
Goodevening,I'mBobWoodruff.Overthenexttwohours,we'lltakeyouonajourneyintoaworldthatcouldawaitusandourchildren.370,000babieswillbeborntoday.Andwe'vetakenthelibertyofcreatingonemore,afictionalcharacterwe'recallingLucy,whowillbeourguidethroughthiscentury.Herlifestoryisnotapredictionaboutwhatwillhappen,butwhatmighthappen.
Jun022100
Thisoncegloriouscity,whoselightsatnightcouldbeseenformiles,emptynow.It'stoweringskyscrapers,onceatestamenttoouringenuity,nowstandascrumblingmonumentstoourdemise.
JOHNPEDESTA
“Maybeonlyartistscangraspwhatthatkindofffuturereallyholdsforus.It'sperhapsintheareathatwethinkoftodayassciencefiction,butthatcouldbeaveryrealfuturefortheplanet.”
JAREDDIAMOND
“Ahundredyearsfromnow,ifNewYorkisabandoned,Icanimaginesomeadvancedcreatures,maybehumans,maybeextraterrestrials,lookingatNewYorkandsaying,thoseignorantpeople,howonEarthcouldtheyhaveeverexpectedtosurvive?
”
LUCY
Icanaskmyselfwhathappened,butwheredoIbegin?
Withthedroughts,thefamines,theplague?
Itbeganlongbeforeallthat.Ilivedthroughitall.Mystoryiseveryone'sstory,thestoryofthelastcentury.
JUN022009
LUCY
IwasbornJune2nd,2009.Civilizationwasatacrossroads.Wewereinaraceforourfuture.
OBAMA
Today,Isaytoyouthatthechallengeswefacearereal.Theyareseriousandtheyaremany.
NEWS
Thetemperatureisexpectedtokeepgoingup.
Thestockmarketplunged.
DouglasCountywillrunoutofdrinkingwater.
OBAMA
Theywillnotbemeteasilyorinashortspanoftime.
NEWS
SixthgradercamedownwithsuspectedswinefluonWednesday.
THOMASHOMERDIXON
Energy,climate,food,population,economicpressures,anyoneofthesechallengesmight
beveryseriousinitself.Butbecausethey'rehappeningallsimultaneously,it'sgoingtobeverydifficultforourgovernmentstocope.
JAREDDIAMOND
WhenIlookatthenextcentury,Ifeelit'supforgrabs.
NEWS
-Raisingsealevels...
-Catastrophicweather.
-Ten-yeardrought...
-it'sscary.
-Thesearethingsthatarehappeningtoday.
-Thetimeforactionisnow.
LUCY
Theworldhadneverknownsuchuncertainty.Wewereusedtohavingwhatwewantedanddolingwhatwewanted.
JAREDDIAMOND
TheanalogythatIwoulddrawissomeonelookingattheirbankaccountandweekafterweek,they'rewithdrawingmoneyandthey'reenjoyingthegoodlife.Iftheywouldbothertoreadthestatements,theywouldseethatthebankaccountisdropping$900,$800,$700,$600.Andatthatrateyouknowthatanothersixmonthsofthegoodlifeisnotgonnabeagoodlifeanymore.
PETERGLEICK
We'veactedasthoughwewereindependentoftheenvironment.Weburnedfossilfuels.We'veoverusedourrenewableresourcesinthebeliefthatwecoulddothatforever.
VANJONES
Peoplearecomplainingabouttheeconomiccrisiswehaverightnow.Youhaven'tseennothingyet.Youknow,ifwecontinuedownthissuicidalpathwaythatwe'reon,wherewebasicallyturnlivingstuffintodeadstuffandcallthateconomicgrowth,thiswilllooklikethegoodolddays.
APR242012THEGOODOLDDAYS
AlthoughtheworldIwasbornintowasrunningoutofsomuch,water,oil,land,Irememberalovingfamily,abighouse,greenlawn,morewaterthanweknewwhattodowith.Myparentsmusthaveknownwhatwashappening.Wehadacompactcarandrecycled.Anditwasn'tjustus.Smart,imaginativepeopleeverywherewereworkingfuriouslyonsolutions.Ourgovernmentwaspouringmoneyintoalternativeenergy.Itseemedlikeeveryonewasgrowingtheirownvegetablegarden.Windmillsweresproutingupallover.Peoplewerebeginningtounderstand.Buttheclockwasrunningout,andnaturewasalwaysonestepahead.
TERRYROOT
Flowersarebloomingearlierandtreesareleafingearlier.Birdsarecomingbackfrommigrationmuchearlier.
JANINEBENYLUS
IfyouweretopullbackfromtheEarth,whatyouwouldseeissortofarefugeemovement,ifyouwill.Andspeciesaremovingtheirrangesfarthernorthtogettocool,fromsouthtonorth,andfromthevalleysuptothemountaintops.
AUG272014SUMMEROFTHEDRAGONFLY
LUCY
Ofcourse,asachild,Ididn'tnoticethesethings,havingnothingtocompareitto.Iwasalittlegirlenchantedbymysmallworld.Untilonesummer,thousands,maybemillions,ofdragonfliesshowedupoutofnowhere.TheyweredelicateandbeautifulandIputoneinajar.Mymotherwaspuzzledandlookedthemup.TheyweresupposedtobeinCuba,notMiami.ItwasnotuntilmuchlaterthatIrealizedtheywereasignofwhatwastocome.
HOST(MAIN)
It's2015,sixshortyearsfromnow,andthebest-laidplansaregettingunderway.AwavefarmoffScotlandisharnessingtheocean'senergy.VaticanCityhasgonetotallysolar.AndhereinAmerica,carsarerunningcleanerandmoreefficiently.Still,weclingtothatoldhabit,oil,andit'sgettingharderandmoreexpensivetofind.
NEWS
Fromcoasttocoast,motoristsaresearchingforrelieffromsoaringgaspricesinCalifornia...
THOMASHOMERDIXON
Wecouldseeadoublingortriplingofrealoilprices,that'safterinflation.
MICHAELKLARE
We'rerunningoutofoilandwe'vecreatedasociety,theAmericanwayoflifeiswhatwecallit,basedontheassumptionthatoilwillbeplentifulforever.
THOMASHOMERDIXON
Thelargespreadoutsuburbsthatwe'vegrownaccustomedto,thestripmalls,thebigboxstoreswiththeirenormousparkinglotsaroundthem,allofthosehavebeenmadepossiblebecausewe'vehadcheapgasoline,andasenergybecomesmuchmoreexpensive,you'llseethatthoseareasbecomelessdesirableplacestolive.
FEB182015MOVINGDAY
LUCY
ThefirsttimeImoved,Iwassix.Alotofpeoplewereleavingthesuburbsforthecity.Therewerenewjobs,andyoudidn'tneedacarforeverything.MydadwasgoingtoworkonthenewstreetcarsysteminMiami.Andmymothertoldmeweweregoingtoliveonthetopfloorofanapartmentbuilding.Shesaidwe'dseethepalmtreesbelowus.Iwasexcited,butalsoalittlesadtoleave.
NEWS
Asthepriceofoilgoesup,Itwillripplethrougheverypartoftheglobaleconomy.
InWashingtontoday,protestersdemandedanendtorisingfoodprices.
Ouragriculturesystemisalmostwhollydependentoncheapoil.
JAMESHOWARDKUNSTLER
Tremendousamountsofdieselfuelthatareusedinplantingandharvestingandthenmovingthestuff,allthesevastdistances.
HEIDICULLEN
By2015intheUnitedStates,addabout20millionpeopletothepopulationandthenjustplayoutwhatthatdoestoconsumptionpatterns.Imean,the,thenumberofpeoplethatwe'vegottofeed.There'sjustbasicallythisslow,creepingtensionfornaturalresources.
HOST
AstheAmericanwayoflifebecomesincreasinglyunsustainable,therestoftheworldwillbetryingtocatchup.
ELIZABETHECONOMY
TheChineselikecars.Andtheylikebigcars.Youhave14,000carsoutontoChina'sroadsdaily.
ROZMAYLOR
Incomesarerisingreallyrapidly.They'removingintomeat-baseddiets.
HOST
Youneed10poundsofgraintogetonepoundofmeat.
Thereissimplynowaythattherestoftheworldcanstarteatingmeatthewaywedo.
HOST
IfeveryoneintheworldconsumedasmuchastheaverageAmerican,ItwouldtaketheresourcesoffourEarthstosupporttheplanet'spopulation,whichraisesthequestion,shouldtherestoftheworldconsumeless,orshouldwe?
Americanhabits,though,arehardtobreak.
RICHARDHEINBERG
WeintheUShavegottenusedtotheideathatwe'resomehowimmunetonaturallimitsandit'stheotherpeoplewhoaregoingtosuffer.
JUL142015RUNNINGONEMPTY
NEWS
Goodmorning,Miami.Thesummerof2015isontracktobecomeoneofthehottestinhistory.Temperaturesareexpectedtobeinthetripledigits.
LUCY
MymotherandIwerewaitingforgas.Thelinewentaroundtheblockandthensome.Nothingnew.Butthistime,thelinehadstoppedmovingaltogether.Amanwhoworkedatthegasstationcameoutholdingasign.Peoplestartedyellingandtheygotoutoftheircarsandstartedmovingtowardshim.Mymothergotusoutoftherefast.
SEP082015
NEWS
I'vebeenstakingoutanareathat'sbeenhithardrecentlybygassnatchers.Lookathim,hegetsout,walksrightuptothecar.Wow.Lookatthis,rightinthemiddleoftheday.There'scarsgoingby,andtheseguysare-siphoninggasoutofsomeone'scar.
Inthefaceofmountingprotestsoverrisinggasandfoodprices,Congresstodayapprovedaplantofundtheconstructionof40newcoal-firedpowerplantsoverthenextfiveyears.
LUCY
Thecountrytooktheeasywayout.Coalwasonceagaintoutedasourso-calledsalvation.Butthemorecoalweburned,thefasterourplanetwarmed.Yougetthepicture.
PETERCLEICK
We'respewingmorecarbon,moremethane,morenitrousoxideintotheatmosphere.Allthebadthingsofclimatechangearecomingtrue.
LUCY
Andmostpeoplewerejustgoingalongwiththeireverydaylivesasifnothinghadchanged.
THOMASHOMERDIXON
Anduntilwehaveacrisis
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